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Upland Game Bird
Hunting and Harvest Report
August 31, 2004
License Year 2003
Harvest Surveys
Montana Fish Wildlife and Parks
Table of Contents
Introduction 1
Upland Game Bird Hunting and Harvest Tables 7
By Species and Location (License Types Combined) 9
Statewide and Regional 11
By County 14
By Species, State and Regional, by License Type 31
Species Combined 51
Statewide and Regional, by License Type 53
By County and Residency 56
Upland Game Bird Statistical Confidence Tables 63
By Species, State and Regional, by License Type 65
By Species and County (License Types Combined) 85
Species Combined 97
Statewide and Regional, by License Type 99
By County and Residency 101
Appendix A: LY2003 Upland Game Bird Hunting and Harvest
Statistics Data File Description 105
Enclosures
2003 Upland Game Bird Hunting and Harvest Questionnaire
2003 Montana Hunting Regulations: Upland Game Birds & Falconry
Introduction
This report contains statistical estimates of upland game bird hunting effort and harvest success in Montana during license year 2003 (LY2003). It is based on an analysis and summary of the statewide upland bird hunting and harvest survey conducted following the LY2003 hunting season (see Survey Questionnaire enclosure). Information on sampling effort, return and response rates, and survey results are presented below. Estimates of the number of hunters and successful hunters, hunter days, and total harvest, plus confidence bounds at the 80% significance level and relevant ratios based on these statistics, are presented by upland game bird species hunted (separate and combined), location hunted (statewide, regional, and by county), and type of bird license held by the sportsperson (license type, licenses combined by residency, and all license types/residencies combined).
Two upland game bird table types are presented:
Upland Game Bird Hunting and Harvest Table: Estimated number of bird hunters, successful hunters, hunter days, total harvest, and ratios based on these estimates. Also presented is the percent distribution of successful hunters within 6 bag size classes.
Upland Game Bird Statistical Confidence Table: The same four basic estimated statistics presented above (Hunters, Successful Hunters, Hunter Days, Total Harvest) accompanied by their lower and upper 80% confidence bounds.
These tables are organized based on three variables: Species, Location, and License Type.
Hunted Upland Game Bird Species:
All Species CombinedSage GrousePheasantRuffed GrouseHungarian PartridgeBlue GrouseChukar PartridgeSpruce (Franklins) GrouseSharptail GrouseUnknown Species
Due to space limitations in the tables, Partridge may be abbreviated as P and Grouse as G. If no hunting was reported for a species in a location, no record will appear in the tables.
Location of Hunt:
Statewide (State): Indicates that statistics are computed without regard to County of hunt and provides an overall picture of upland bird hunting in Montana.
Regional (Reg 1Reg 7, Reg U): Statistics are computed based on MFWP Region of the County hunted. Hunting reported in an unknown County is lumped into Reg U.
County: Statistics are computed based on County of hunt. Counties are organized alphabetically within Regions. Beyond phone survey interviewer assistance in establishing location of hunt and species harvested, and the correction of obvious mail survey reporting errors, no further attempts are made to screen out upland game bird hunting or harvest reported for species in Counties where their presence is unlikely. Reported locations are presented as is so Regional managers and biologists will have the opportunity to interpret it for themselves.
Upland Game Bird License Type Held by Sportsperson:
The Montana Fish Wildlife and Parks Automated Licensing System (ALS) began operations at the start of LY2002. Upland game bird licenses are sold through ALS at point of sale. ALS replaced the old method of organizing licenses by Conservation Prefix with the new method of 7 digit Item Type codes. Upland bird analysis and reporting by License Type is now based on these Item Types as described below.
All: Statistics are computed without regard to the upland bird license held by sportspersons.
Residency (R/N): Statistics are computed based on residency status of sportsperson.
License Type: Statistics are computed based on Item Type of the Conservation License held and/or the Item Type of the Upland Bird License held.
R Bird: Holders of a Resident Upland Game Bird License (Items 20-04-020,-054). Item Type 20-04-020 also included holders of the Resident Sportsman Item Types, and those having implied bird hunting privileges due to age or disability status (see below). These holders were subtracted out of the R Bird holder population.
R Spo BB: Holders of a Resident Sportsman with Bear License (Item 20-02-010).
R Spo: Holders of a Resident Sportsman without Bear License (Items 20-02-011,-012).
R SpoYth: Holders of a Resident Youth Sportsman License (Item 20-02-111).
N Bird: Holders of a Non-resident Upland Game Bird License (Items 20-04-022).
N Com BG: Holders of a Non-resident Big Game Combination License (Items 20-02-002,-003,-007).
N Com DE: Holders of a Non-resident Deer Combination License (Items 20-02-004,-006,-008).
N Com EL: Holders of a Non-resident Elk Combination License (Items 20-02-005,-009).
Following the convention used in past years, those resident hunters holding upland game bird hunting privileges based only on age or disability status in combination with a conservation license, and not specifically purchasing a sportsman or general bird license, were not included in the surveyed population of bird hunters, nor were their numbers used to compute expansion factors for bird hunting and harvest estimates. Including these sportspersons could potentially add significant numbers of fisherpersons or hunters of other game species who have little or no intent to hunt upland game birds.
Expansion Factors for Upland Game Bird Statistics
All statistics presented are estimates based on the underlying upland game bird survey response set for a particular combination of the various levels of Species hunted, Location hunted, and License Type held. Upland game bird expansion factors were derived for each License Type based on the population of holders of that License Type divided by the number of holders returning survey responses for that License Type. A low expansion factor (close to 1) indicates a high response rate, and relatively good statistical precision in the hunting or harvest estimate. Good statistical precision is reflected in relatively narrow 80% confidence bounds on the estimate. An expansion factor significantly higher than 1 indicates a low response rate, relatively poor statistical precision, and relatively wide 80% confidence bounds on the estimate.
A second factor influencing precision of a hunting or harvest estimate is the raw number of upland bird survey responses reporting hunting activity or harvest, for a given combination of location, license type, and species. These survey response counts are multiplied by the expansion factor to obtain the hunting or harvest estimate. A higher total count of responding active hunters, or reported kill, will result in better statistical precision of the hunting and harvest estimates than lower counts.
Upland bird hunting and harvest expansion factors computed at all levels and groupings of License Type were applied across all levels and groupings of Location and Species. The number of licenses sold and the expansion factors used are presented in Table 1. Eighty percent confidence levels on hunter and harvest estimates are presented in the Statistical Confidence Tables as an index of the relative precision of the estimates.
Statistics at the Residency level lump License Type holders and respondents by Residency status, resulting in statistical estimates of hunting and harvest without regard to underlying License Types within Residency class. Statistics at the All License Types combined level lump all holders regardless of Residency status, resulting in estimates without regard to Residency or License Type. The sum of underlying harvest estimates for the individual License Types will not necessarily equal the estimate for the corresponding Residency class, nor will the sum of the two estimates by Residency necessarily equal the estimate for the All License Types category. Separate estimates were computed for each higher lumped category, disregarding the factors which distinguished the underlying subpopulations. The more heterogeneous the underlying subpopulations, the more the overall estimates will vary from the sum of the underlying estimates.
Relative statistical precision will be better for estimates at levels and groupings of location, license type, and species where the response rate is relatively higher (the expansion factor is lower), and the total reported number hunting or harvesting is relatively higher. Total reported hunters and kill accumulate as the three identifying variables are lumped into higher levels. Therefore, the relative precision of the estimates improves. For example, precision in the Statewide estimates will generally be better than precision in Regional estimates, which will generally be better than precision in the County level estimates. In general, relative precision is worst in the estimates at the finest level of response data splitting. This is particularly true at the County level for upland bird Species with relatively restricted populations or low hunter interest.
Estimates of Hunters and Successful Hunters by Species will not sum to the All Species estimate because an individual hunter may hunt and harvest more than one species. Estimates of Hunter Days and Total Harvest will sum across Species to the All estimate because hunters report days and kill by individual species, and the same expansion factor is used to obtain the estimates for all Species for a given License Type Class.
Similarly, estimates of Hunters and Successful Hunters by County will not sum to the corresponding Regional or Statewide estimates because an individual hunter may hunt and harvest in more than one County and Region. The Hunter Days and Total Harvest estimates will sum across locations because hunters report days and kill by County, and the same expansion factor is used to obtain the estimates for all Locations for a given License Type Class.
In cases where there was no upland bird hunting success, some of the ratios comparing harvest within defined categories will be undefined. These are flagged in the tables as 0.0.
Overall Sampling Effort and Results
Montana resident upland game bird sportspersons were surveyed primarily by phone, while non-residents were surveyed by mail. Table 1 presents overall statewide counts of upland game bird sportspersons, sampled sportspersons, and sportspersons providing valid responses, by the various License Type categories described above. Expansion factors, sportspersons divided by sportspersons returning valid responses, are also presented. Expanded statistics were computed at all levels of Species, Location, and License Type by multiplying the non-expanded statistics by the expansion factor of the matching License Type. The estimated number of active upland game bird hunters is derived from the number of responses where the hunter indicated bird hunting effort, multiplied by the corresponding expansion factor for the License Type.
Table 2 presents the various rates derived from the counts in Table 1, expressed as percents. Sample rate is the percent of game bird license holders surveyed for game bird hunting and harvest information. Return rate is the percent of surveyed game bird license holders returning valid game bird survey information. Response rate is the percent of game bird license holders returning valid game bird survey responses. Hunting rate is the estimated percent of game bird license holders expending effort hunting upland birds.
Table SEQ Table \* ARABIC 1: License Year 2003 Montana Upland Game Bird Sportspersons, Sampled Sportspersons, Responding Sportspersons, and Estimated Active Upland Bird Hunters.
License TypeSportspersonsSampleResponsesExpansion FactorEstimated HuntersALL103,24338,66523,7614.34540,574.2R72,19722,63515,2354.73932,641.5N31,04616,0308,5263.6418,921.3R Bird34,48610,7586,9034.99620,527.7R Spo BB10,9143,4572,3844.5784,275.9R Spo22,7947,1835,0044.5557,506.9R SpoYth4,0031,2379444.240835.4N Bird6,9483,7071,7523.9666,670.4N Com BG15,1047,3993,9093.8641,251.9N Com DE7,2414,1652,4912.9071,252.9N Com EL1,7537593744.68760.9
Table SEQ Table \* ARABIC 2: License Year 2003 Montana Upland Game Bird Sample Rate, Return Rate, Response Rate, and Hunting Rate (all rates expressed as percents).
License TypeSample RateReturn RateResponse RateHunting RateALL37.5%61.5%23.0%39.3%R31.4%67.3%21.1%45.2%N51.6%53.2%27.5%28.7%R Bird31.2%64.2%20.0%59.5%R Spo BB31.7%69.0%21.8%39.2%R Spo31.5%69.7%22.0%32.9%R SpoYth30.9%76.3%23.6%20.9%N Bird53.4%47.3%25.2%96.0%N Com BG49.0%52.8%25.9%8.3%N Com DE57.5%59.8%34.4%17.3%N Com EL43.3%49.3%21.3%3.5%
Upland Game Bird Hunting and Harvest Tables
The upland game bird Hunting and Harvest Tables present basic game bird hunting and harvest statistics, and ratios based on these statistics, for various levels and combinations of Species hunted, Location hunted, and License Type held. These tables are organized as follows:
By Species
State and Regional, All License Types Combined
By County, All License Types Combined
State and Regional, by License Type
All Species Combined
State and Regional, by License Type
By County and Residency (License Types of Residency Combined)
To compare statistics between Species and Locations, without regard to Residency or License Type, refer to the By Species, State and Regional or By Species, by County tables. To compare results between Regions and Residency/License Types, for a given Species, refer to the By Species, State and Regional, By License Type table. For an overall view of all upland game bird hunting, without regard to Species, refer to the Species Combined tables.
The following statistics were computed for all Species, Location, and License Type level combinations:
Hunters: Point estimate of number of sportspersons (license holders) that actively hunted.
Success Hunters (Successful Hunters): Point estimate of number of hunters that harvested one or more game birds.
Hunter Days: Point estimate of number of days or partial days hunters spent hunting for game birds.
Total Harvest: Point estimate of total number of birds harvested.
Percent Success: Number of successful hunters divided by number of hunters. An estimate of the percent of hunters harvesting one or more upland birds.
Days Per Hunter: Number of hunter days divided by number of hunters. An estimate of the average number of days a hunter spent hunting upland birds.
Kill Per Hunter: Total harvest divided by number of hunters. An estimate of the average number of upland birds harvested by hunters, including unsuccessful hunters.
Kill Per Day: Total harvest divided by number of hunter days. An estimate of the average number of birds harvested per day hunted.
In addition, the percent of successful hunters by bag size class was calculated:
Bag Sz 1: Percent of successful hunters harvesting 1 bird of a given species at a given location.
Bag Sz 2: Percent of successful hunters harvesting 2 birds of a given species at a given location.
Bag Sz 3: Percent of successful hunters harvesting 3 birds of a given species at a given location.
Bag Sz 4-6: Percent of successful hunters harvesting 4 to 6 birds of a given species at a given location.
Bag Sz 7-9: Percent of successful hunters harvesting 7 to 9 birds of a given species at a given location.
Bag Sz >9: Percent of successful hunters harvesting more than nine birds of a given species at a given location.
Upland Game Bird Statistical Confidence Tables
The upland game bird Statistical Confidence tables present point estimates of the basic statistics described above, but also provide the lower and upper 80% confidence bounds on these estimates. These supplemental tables are provided on the principle that point estimates should always be judged in the light of the variability expected in the estimate. This variability is reflected in the relative width of the confidence bounds provided for the estimate. Statistical confidence tables are provided in the following views:
By Species
State and Regional, by License Type
By County, All License Types Combined
All Species Combined
State and Regional, by License Type
By County and Residency (License Types of Residency Combined)
Statistics provided include Hunters, Successful Hunters, Hunter Days, and Total Harvest, as defined above, plus the following:
Hunters Low Bnd: Lower bound of 80% confidence interval on number of hunters.
Hunters Up Bnd: Upper bound of 80% confidence interval on number of hunters.
Suc Hunt Low Bnd: Lower bound of 80% confidence interval on number of successful hunters.
Suc Hunt Up Bnd: Upper bound of 80% confidence interval on number of successful hunters.
HDays Low Bnd: Lower bound of 80% confidence interval on number of hunter days.
HDays Up Bnd: Upper bound of 80% confidence interval on number of hunter days.
Harvest Low Bnd: Lower bound of 80% confidence interval on total harvest.
Harvest Up Bnd: Upper bound of 80% confidence interval on total harvest.
Notes Applying to Upland Bird Hunting and Harvest Tables
The statistics presented in this report, such as Hunters, Successful Hunters, Hunter Days, and Harvest, are estimates. Statistical estimates are real numbers, meaning they have decimal places. These real number estimates are formatted to whole numbers in the printed report to make it easier to read, and more relevant to the concept of whole hunters and birds. A statistics data set is available which retains much of the original precision of the estimates. (See Appendix A.) If further summaries or mathematical manipulations of hunting and harvest statistics is desired, round off error can be avoided by the use of the real numbers in the data set, rather than the rounded whole numbers presented in this report.
Undefined, missing, or not applicable values are presented in the report as 0.0 or -0. Undefined ratios and percents occur when the denominator of the ratio is zero. Bag Size Class values will be undefined when response data indicated no harvest.
Out of range values are indicated with #####. These occur when the numerator of a ratio, relative to the denominator, is so large that the ratio is essentially meaningless.
The page numbers in the lower right hand corner of each page indicate the consecutive page number in the report. The page numbers in the upper right of each table title header indicate a page within a given table. Each table will have numbered consecutive pages.
The date August 31, 2004 printed in the table titles and throughout this report indicates the date the presented estimates of LY2003 upland game bird hunting and harvest statistics were generated. This provides a version stamp in the event the statistics are regenerated at a later date using altered source data or modified analysis techniques.
Appendix A: 2003 Upland Bird Hunting and Harvest Statistics Data File Description
Bird hunting and harvest statistical estimates and confidence bounds, for all computed combinations and levels of Location, License Type, and Species, are stored in the Harvest Surveys Hunting and Harvest Statistics Database. A complete data table of LY2003 bird hunting and harvest estimates is available from Harvest Surveys in a comma separated value (CSV) text file. Tables defining County and Species codes are also provided, as is a table providing license sales, sample counts, response counts, and expansion factors. These files are described in Appendix A.
Additional Upland Bird Hunting and Harvest Information Sources
The following additional information resources relating to LY2003 upland bird hunting and harvest in Montana are available from FWP Harvest Surveys:
LY2003 Upland Game Bird Hunting and Harvest Statistics Data File. (See Appendix A.) Currently available as RichText documents and CSV ASCII text files compressed into a WinZip file.
Plan Your Hunt Web Hunting and Harvest Statistics Access. A simplified version of upland game bird hunting and harvest statistics, across multiple license years, will be made available to the Interactive Hunt Planner section of the FWP Web site.
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Montana Fish Wildlife and Parks Wildlife Research - Harvest Surveys - 2003 Upland Game Bird Hunting and Harvest Report August 31, 2004
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